Featured News Headlines
Bitcoin Technical Warning: Death Cross Nearing, What Traders Should Watch
Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped below the critical $100,000 mark, sending ripples through the crypto market as analysts closely watch the formation of an impending death cross. This technical pattern occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crosses below the 200-day SMA, a signal historically linked to market bottoms, though timing and context remain crucial.
Death Cross Approaches: History and Short-Term Outlook
Several market experts are tracking the approaching Bitcoin death cross, projected to occur around mid-November, potentially just 1–2 days away. Analyst Colin notes that BTC could experience further declines in the short term, with altcoins possibly falling even more, reflecting Bitcoin’s recent retracement below $100,000.
Historically, BTC has experienced at least eight death cross events between 2018 and April 2025, often forming local bottoms within 5–9 days, followed by rallies of 45% or more. If the recent dip below $100,000 marks a local bottom, some analysts project a recovery to around $145,000, supported by patterns from the last three death crosses where Bitcoin rebounded sharply to new all-time highs.
Caution Remains: Risks and Potential Drawdowns
Despite historical optimism, caution is advised. Analysts note that, on average, Bitcoin can lose over 30% within 12 months following a death cross, with a typical recovery to previous highs taking about 141 days. Should BTC hover near $100,000 during the mid-November cross, the market could experience a retracement toward the $70,000 region before a new upward cycle begins.
Timing Indicator, Not a Guarantee
Experts emphasize that a death cross serves as a timing signal, not a definitive bottom or top. Traders should consider volume trends, RSI/MACD divergences, on-chain metrics, and stablecoin liquidity to better assess potential outcomes. Current high-probability scenarios suggest short-term capitulation, followed by the death cross and a possible strong rebound, though careful risk management and confirmation of recovery are advised before committing to positions.
