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Bitcoin Price Surge Expected This Quarter
Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025 – Bitcoin (BTC) could rally an impressive 25% from its current trading levels to reach a fresh all-time high of $135,000 by the end of Q3 2025, according to a bold new forecast by global banking giant Standard Chartered. This prediction challenges traditional price cycle norms, signaling a potentially game-changing shift in Bitcoin’s market dynamics.
Breaking Halving Cycle Traditions: Why Bitcoin Could Defy History
Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, revealed this upbeat outlook last week. He emphasized that unlike previous Bitcoin halving cycles—which historically led to price declines about 18 months post-halving—this cycle is driven by unprecedented institutional demand from Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasury purchases.
Currently trading near $109,000, Bitcoin’s jump to $135,000 would mark about a 25% gain within just two months. But Kendrick doesn’t stop there. He forecasts BTC to soar beyond $200,000 by year-end 2025, eventually hitting an astonishing $500,000 by 2028 as institutional adoption continues to grow.
“The influx of investor capital, especially through ETFs and corporate buying, has fundamentally altered Bitcoin’s market behavior,” Kendrick explained, noting that these forces were absent in previous halving periods.
ETF Flows and Corporate Demand: The New Drivers of Bitcoin’s Price Surge
Bitcoin’s halving events typically reduce mining rewards and have triggered volatile price swings historically. However, this cycle sees strong backing from institutions, a factor that could dampen traditional price corrections.
In Q2 2025 alone, Standard Chartered tracked 245,000 BTC flowing into ETFs and corporate treasuries. The bank expects even stronger inflows in Q3 and Q4, fueling the bullish momentum.
This institutional demand sets this cycle apart from the past. While Bitcoin ETF flows experienced some outflows recently—posting $342 million in redemptions last week—Standard Chartered remains confident that the big picture is bullish, with institutional buying still the key force.
Mixed Analyst Views: Optimism Meets Caution
While Standard Chartered offers one of the most bullish forecasts in traditional finance, not everyone is fully convinced.
Kirill Kretov of CoinPanel urged caution, noting that while $135K or $200K by year-end is possible, the current market is still vulnerable to sentiment swings. Kretov highlights a “structured accumulation phase” with significant BTC buying in the $100K–$110K range but predicts more volatility between $95K and $115K before a sustained rally.
On the other hand, Paul Howard of Wincent shares a measured optimism. He expects Bitcoin to surpass $150,000 before the end of 2025 thanks to fiat currency devaluation and increased ETF activity. However, he remains skeptical about the $200,000 target in the short term, citing the need for nearly $1 trillion in additional market cap—a surge he predicts could come by 2027.
Long-Term Outlook: Bitcoin’s Potential Into 2028 and Beyond
Looking further ahead, Standard Chartered joins other firms in predicting massive Bitcoin growth. Their $500,000 target for 2028 aligns with expectations of accelerating institutional adoption and favorable macroeconomic trends.
Other major players like ARK Invest and VanEck have similarly bullish outlooks. ARK Invest forecasts Bitcoin reaching $1.2 million by 2030 in their base case, with even higher targets under bull scenarios.
What Could Hold Bitcoin Back?
Despite the bullish forecasts, some risks remain. Market watchers point to the potential for increased regulatory scrutiny, macroeconomic uncertainty, and the possibility that institutional demand might ebb. Tariff tensions and geopolitical risks could also affect broader crypto adoption and price action.
Standard Chartered’s forecast reflects a growing consensus that Bitcoin’s market is evolving beyond traditional halving cycle patterns. If institutional demand remains strong and macroeconomic conditions align, Bitcoin could deliver spectacular gains in the coming months and years.
However, investors should remain mindful of volatility and market complexities as this story unfolds.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies and stocks, particularly in micro-cap companies, are subject to significant volatility and risk. Please conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
