Hedera Price Analysis: CMF Rising, RSI Mixed, and a Critical Breakout on the Horizon
Hedera (HBAR) is back in the spotlight after surging more than 13% in the past 24 hours, reversing most of its weekly losses and lifting market sentiment from bearish to cautiously optimistic. Despite still being down roughly 18% over the past month, the latest bounce shows stronger conviction than previous attempts—raising the question every trader is asking: Can this rebound turn into a real rally?
Buyer Strength Improves, but Momentum Flashes a Subtle Warning
HBAR is currently tightening inside a triangle pattern, a setup where buyers and sellers compress into a decisive range. Triangle breakouts often determine the next major trend, and two key indicators—CMF and RSI—explain why this moment matters.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has broken above its downward trend line, signaling rising accumulation from larger wallets. Now sitting near 0.03, CMF could make a higher high if it climbs toward 0.07, even without price retesting the previous swing high of $0.198. This would signal increasing spot demand and add real weight behind the rebound.
But the Relative Strength Index (RSI) tells a more cautious story. Between November 23 and December 3, RSI formed a higher high while the HBAR price printed a lower high—a classic hidden bearish divergence. This pattern often suggests a mild pullback during broader downtrends. Importantly, the bearish signal disappears entirely if HBAR closes above $0.155.
The Breakout Level That Will Decide Everything
HBAR currently trades near $0.149, but the entire structure revolves around one level: $0.155.
A daily close above $0.155 would:
- Bring price to the top of the triangle
- Invalidate the RSI bearish divergence
- Confirm buyer strength
- Open the door toward $0.180, assuming CMF continues to rise
If the rebound loses steam, support sits at $0.142. A breakdown below that level weakens the structure and puts $0.130 back in play if broader market conditions soften.
For now, HBAR holds a rare blend: strengthening big-money inflows, fixable momentum, and a single resistance level that will determine whether this recovery becomes a real rally—or slows all over again.
