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Bitcoin Jumps on Trade War De-escalation Hopes
Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market surged over the weekend, lifted by renewed optimism surrounding U.S.–China trade relations. Hopes for de-escalation between the world’s two largest economies fueled a rebound in risk assets — with Bitcoin once again taking the lead.
Trade Talks Fuel Market Optimism
Bitcoin jumped 3.5% on Sunday, climbing from $110,960 to $115,400 before easing slightly to $115,235, according to CoinGecko. Despite the uptick, BTC remains 6.5% below its all-time high of $126,000, reached on October 6.
The rally followed a preliminary framework agreement reached during a weekend meeting between U.S. and Chinese officials in Malaysia, described by both sides as a “constructive step” toward easing the long-running trade dispute.
“Bitcoin’s weekend rally underscores how macro sentiment continues to steer digital assets,” said Daniel Liu, CEO of Republic Technologies, in a statement to Decrypt. “The renewed optimism around U.S.–China trade talks has temporarily lifted risk appetite across markets, and Bitcoin, increasingly viewed as a high-beta macro asset, followed suit.”
Liu noted that the market’s reaction reflects “liquidity psychology rather than trade fundamentals,” suggesting that traders are responding more to improved risk sentiment than to any direct link between tariff negotiations and crypto demand.
Analysts Caution on Short-Term Uncertainty
“What we’re really seeing is traders pricing in a softer macro environment and looser financial conditions, not a structural shift in the U.S.–China dynamic,” Liu added.
Market sentiment data from Myriad, a prediction platform owned by DASTAN (Decrypt’s parent company), showed greed levels climbing to 60% on Sunday before easing to 57.4%, compared to 42.6% for fear — indicating a short-term bullish bias.
Daniel Kim, CEO of Tiger Research, told Decrypt: “Trump’s renewed U.S.–China dialogue has positively influenced Bitcoin alongside other risk assets. This week’s APEC summit will likely add to short-term volatility.”
Fundamentals Yet to Confirm the Rally
According to Tiger Research’s Thursday report, while the trade thaw has boosted sentiment, on-chain indicators such as transaction count and active addresses have not yet confirmed Bitcoin’s upward momentum, leaving near-term direction uncertain.
Nonetheless, the firm maintained a bullish fourth-quarter outlook, citing global liquidity expansion, institutional inflows, and the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting policy as supportive factors. Analysts at Tiger Research project a potential move toward $200,000 for Bitcoin in the coming months.
