Crypto News- Recently, the U.S. witnessed the launch of almost a dozen spot Bitcoin ETFs, a development that provides valuable insights for those keeping an eye on potential Ether ETFs. The much-anticipated approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) finally materialized, opening the door for these ETFs to enter the market last Thursday.
As the excitement built up ahead of their debut, specific occurrences related to implied volatility and the options market have garnered attention, particularly among speculators eyeing Ether (ETH) as the next candidate for a spot ETF approval.
Bitcoin ETF Premiere Offers Valuable Insights for Speculators Eyeing Ether
Implied volatility, a gauge of investors’ expectations regarding price turbulence, played a pivotal role in the Bitcoin market, influencing the prices of both call and put options. Traders, when confronted with binary events such as SEC decisions or earnings dates, often delve into options trading to establish a ‘long vega’ position, capitalizing on the anticipated increase in implied volatility. However, this approach exposes traders to the risk of a post-event crash in volatility and subsequent declines in options prices.
The Bitcoin ETF announcement served as a valuable lesson for Ether traders, prompting crypto quant researcher Samneet Chepal to advise against maintaining a long volatility exposure on the day of the ETF announcement for Ether. Instead, he suggests that considering a short vega position could be a more prudent strategy, drawing insights from the experiences surrounding the Bitcoin ETF launch.
Bitcoin ETF Launch: Insights for Ether Speculators
Despite Bitcoin’s impressive price surge of over 60% in the three months leading up to the ETF launch, options pricing hinted at a potential post-approval cooling period. While the general consensus predicted an uninterrupted rally, the options market revealed a premium on Bitcoin puts over calls early in the week, indicating sophisticated market participants seeking protection against potential price drops.
The initial euphoria following the commencement of Bitcoin ETF trading propelled prices from $46,000 to above $49,000. However, this surge proved short-lived, and prices retraced to nearly $46,000 since then. This emphasizes the importance of closely monitoring how Ether options are priced for traders engaged in speculation regarding the potential launch of an Ether spot ETF.
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