Bitcoin Price Projections: What the 2015-2018 Cycle Tells Us About BTC’s Future
Bitcoin Price Projections – The FTX collapse in November 2022, which saw Bitcoin (BTC) fall to around $15,500, marked a period of extreme fear within the crypto industry. At the time, it seemed unlikely that the market would recover. However, in just over two years, Bitcoin has surpassed $100,000, propelled by a new, seemingly crypto-friendly U.S. administration under President Donald Trump, although no specific crypto policies have yet been announced.
Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle and Its Price Trend
A key discussion surrounding Bitcoin’s price movements is its four-year cycle, largely influenced by the halving program, which reduces the supply of Bitcoin every four years. Historical trends indicate that after each halving, Bitcoin tends to experience significant price appreciation. The current cycle mirrors the 2015-2018 and 2018-2022 cycles, with Bitcoin up approximately 550% from its cycle low during the FTX collapse.
Comparing Current Cycle to Previous Cycles
When comparing the current cycle to previous years, the 2015-2018 cycle (represented by the blue line in the chart) showed a similar price increase of around 550% from its low in January 2015. In contrast, the 2018-2022 cycle (green line) saw an even larger gain of 1,300% at this point. If Bitcoin continues to follow the same trend, we could see a significant rise, with projections suggesting a potential Bitcoin price of $186,000 by the end of Q1 2025. The peak of the cycle could see Bitcoin approaching $1.7 million by October of this year.
Bitcoin’s Rise Under U.S. Presidential Administrations
Another interesting analysis compares Bitcoin’s price trajectory with U.S. presidential terms. During Donald Trump’s first term, Bitcoin surged by 20x. If a similar rise occurs during his second term, Bitcoin could potentially reach $1 million.
Bitcoin’s resurgence has proven its resilience, and despite the volatility, the four-year cycle analysis suggests that further gains could be on the horizon.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies and stocks, particularly in micro-cap companies, are subject to significant volatility and risk. Please conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
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