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Bitcoin Halving: Bettors’ Crystal Ball Gazing into Price Fluctuations

The likelihood of Bitcoin achieving a fresh all-time peak in April has dropped by 66% on the prediction platform Polymarket.

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Bitcoin Halving: Bettors' Crystal Ball Gazing Into Price Fluctuations

Crypto News- Bitcoin Halving: The excitement surrounding Bitcoin’s potential surge to fresh all-time highs this April is fizzling out, according to punters on the blockchain-based betting platform Polymarket. Just days ago, bettors were riding high with optimism, putting the odds of Bitcoin surpassing $73,700 by month’s end at a confident level. But now, those odds have plummeted by more than 66%, landing at a meager 14%.

Bitcoin Halving: Bettors’ Crystal Ball Gazing into Price Fluctuations

What’s behind this sudden shift in sentiment? Market dynamics are at play, with investor sentiment taking a hit last week, as noted by Caroline Bowler, CEO of crypto exchange BTC Markets. Factors like gains in the US dollar, often sought as a haven during periods of market uncertainty, have contributed to this cautionary mood.

Adding to the mix is the much-anticipated Bitcoin halving, an event that’s garnering both hype and skepticism. While some view it as a catalyst for Bitcoin to reach new heights, others are less convinced. The halving, which slashes miner rewards in half, could indeed impact miner revenues, potentially making some ripe for acquisition by larger players. Yet, this narrative isn’t resonating as strongly among bettors and market observers as it once did.

Greg Beard on Bitcoin’s Resilience: Institutional Adoption Signals Maturation and Future Price Surge

Greg Beard, CEO of Stronghold Digital Mining, believes in Bitcoin’s resilience beyond the hype of halving. He sees institutional adoption as a sign of Bitcoin’s maturation, predicting substantial price gains in the coming years.

However, Bitcoin isn’t immune to external pressures. Concerns over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, such as the recent conflict between Iran and Israel, are weighing on risk assets like Bitcoin. The weekend’s events saw Bitcoin dipping to a seven-week low following Iran’s military actions, underscoring the vulnerability of the cryptocurrency to global events.

Despite the downward pressure, there’s still optimism in the air. A separate bet on Polymarket suggests a 68% chance that Bitcoin will trade above $60,000 by month-end, indicating resilience in the face of uncertainty.

As for the immediate future, market sentiment could shift swiftly, especially if inflation trends diverge from expectations, prompting the Fed to adjust its rate policies sooner than anticipated.

In today’s trading, Bitcoin has edged up by 0.6% to reach $61,649, while Ethereum has seen a modest 0.8% gain, reaching $3,007. The crypto market remains a dynamic arena, where sentiment can sway prices and expectations in the blink of an eye.

Bitcoin Halving: Bettors' Crystal Ball Gazing Into Price Fluctuations

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