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Bitcoin Price Struggles: Analyst Predicts Extended Consolidation Ahead

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Bitcoin Price Struggles: Analyst Predicts Extended Consolidation Ahead

Bitcoin Price Struggles: Will It Rebound from Recent Pullback?

Bitcoin Price Struggles – Bitcoin’s recent pullback, amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty, may prevent the cryptocurrency from quickly reaching its January $109,000 all-time high (ATH), according to a recent analysis by XBTManager, a contributor to CryptoQuant.

Consolidation Likely Following ATH

In a March 5 analyst note, XBTManager suggested that Bitcoin is currently in a pullback phase after reaching its ATH and will likely continue to consolidate for an extended period due to liquidity needs. The analyst emphasized that, for now, traders should exercise caution as Bitcoin navigates through this period.

Long-Term Holders and Market Sentiment

XBTManager further explained that Bitcoin’s long positions will only become “viable” once short-term holders — defined as those holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days — begin to sell their positions and long-term holders return to buying. Until this shift occurs, the analyst advises risk-averse strategies for traders entering positions in the asset.

Decline in Long-Term Holder Supply

The analyst also pointed out the behavior of long-term holders during Bitcoin’s price surge. As Bitcoin approached its $109,000 ATH on January 20, short-term holders began increasing their supply while long-term holders reduced theirs. Over the following 30 days, Bitcoin saw a drop of around 100,000 BTC in long-term holder supply. A larger decline occurred in December 2024 when Bitcoin first reached six figures.

Bitcoin Price Struggles: Analyst Predicts Extended Consolidation Ahead
Source: CoinMarketCap

According to Bitbo data, on December 1, long-term holder supply peaked at 15.2 million BTC, but by December 20, it had fallen to 14.7 million BTC. As of now, long-term holder supply stands at 14.4 million BTC, reflecting a decline of 800,000 BTC since December.

Bitcoin’s Recent Price Movements

Bitcoin’s price has fluctuated in recent months, retreating below $100,000 on February 4 amid fears of a trade war following US tariffs. It later fell to $85,000 by February 27, and briefly dropped below $80,000, erasing almost all gains made since November 2024 when Donald Trump was elected. As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $87,100, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin Price Struggles: Analyst Predicts Extended Consolidation Ahead
Source: Timothy Peterson

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies and stocks, particularly in micro-cap companies, are subject to significant volatility and risk. Please conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Bitcoin Price Struggles: Analyst Predicts Extended Consolidation Ahead
Written by
Ecem EFE

Since 2022, Ecem has been creating digital content, combining her passion for technology with writing. Continuing her education in the Mathematics department, Ecem focuses on producing in-depth content on areas such as blockchain, artificial intelligence, and cryptocurrency. She aims to simplify these topics and present them to a wide audience, sharing valuable insights into the crypto industry through her writing. With her innovative content, she strives to raise awareness in the digital world.

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