Bitcoin Price Update: Can BTC Break $100,000 Again in 2025?

Bitcoin Price Update: Will BTC Surge to $125,000 in the Coming Months?

Bitcoin Price Update – Bitcoin’s price has been hovering just below the key psychological level of $100,000 for the past seven days, but according to crypto researcher Dr. Sean Dawson, there is now a 44.4% chance of BTC surging to $125,000 by late June 2025. Dawson, head of research at the on-chain options protocol Derive, reported this in a market update on February 13, up from a 41.9% chance previously.

Lower Risk of Major Downside

While Bitcoin has remained below the $100,000 mark since February 7, the possibility of a significant downside seems less likely. Dawson noted that the chance of Bitcoin dipping to $75,000 before June has dropped to 12.1%, compared to a higher 17.8% previously. In contrast, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes maintains a more bearish outlook, predicting that Bitcoin could potentially pull back to the $70,000-$75,000 range. This would, according to Hayes, likely trigger a “mini financial crisis,” but his forecast remains speculative.

Bitcoin’s Volatile Price Action and Market Sentiment

Bitcoin briefly hit an all-time high of $109,000 on January 20, 2025, before dipping back below $100,000. As of February 14, Bitcoin is trading around $96,790, according to CoinMarketCap. This price fluctuation comes amid a neutral market sentiment as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which posted a score of 48/100 on February 14, signaling no clear directional bias.

Medium-Term Market Forecast

Despite the current choppy conditions, analysts like VanEck remain optimistic for the future. In their December 2025 projection, they forecast that the bull market could peak in Q1 2025 before pushing Bitcoin to an all-time high of $180,000 and ETH to $6,000 by the end of the year.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies and stocks, particularly in micro-cap companies, are subject to significant volatility and risk. Please conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.