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Shiba Inu Signals Historic Death Cross — Is the Meme Coin in Danger?
Shiba Inu is approaching one of its most critical technical moments ever recorded on the weekly chart, as the meme-coin logs its first-ever 50-week and 200-week moving average cross since launching in 2021. The development marks a major milestone—one analysts say could influence SHIB’s trajectory in the coming weeks, depending on how the market reacts around key support levels.
A Historic First: SHIB Prints a Weekly Death Cross
For the first time in its market history, Shiba Inu (SHIB) has witnessed its 50-week moving average (MA) cross below the 200-week MA, forming what is widely known as a death cross. Traditionally, this pattern is considered a bearish signal, suggesting that short-term weakness may extend further.
By definition:
- A death cross occurs when the 50-week MA drops below the 200-week MA.
- A golden cross happens when the 50-week MA rises above the 200-week MA.
As of now, the 50-week MA sits at $0.000014045, while the 200-week MA is slightly higher at $0.000014315, confirming that the bearish crossover has already occurred.
However, analysts are urging caution when interpreting this as a forward-looking indicator. The death cross merely reflects past price action, they argue. SHIB has already fallen 10.37% since November began and 27.8% since August—long before the moving averages had time to converge.
Some traders believe the indicator may be “too late to matter” and could ultimately prove non-detrimental, depending on SHIB’s near-term recovery. Should broader market sentiment improve and SHIB mount a relief rally, analysts note the possibility of the 50-week MA climbing back above the 200-week MA, paving the way for a bullish golden cross further down the line.
Shiba Inu Turns Red Across All Major Timeframes
SHIB’s latest technical signal comes at a time of intensifying price weakness, with the token posting losses across every major timeframe. Over the past 24 hours, Shiba Inu has slipped 2.1%, extending its decline to 11% over the past week. The monthly picture offers little relief either, as SHIB has fallen 8.68% in the last 30 days, further amplifying investor anxiety amid an already fragile market environment.
Shiba Inu is now trading around $0.00000896, placing additional stress on an investor base that has already absorbed a 57% portfolio decline since the start of 2025.
This sustained weakness makes SHIB’s key support zone more important than ever.
Critical Support at $0.000008–$0.000009: Rebound or Breakdown?
Despite bearish pressure, analysts highlight the $0.000008–$0.000009 support range as a crucial defense zone for bulls. According to analyst James Waynn, maintaining this area could trigger a meaningful rebound, aligning with his highly ambitious long-term projection of $0.10.
While the $0.10 target is speculative and far removed from current market conditions, Waynn argues that holding the current support is the first necessary step.
But what happens if the bearish momentum breaks this floor?
Analyst MMB Trader: $0.0000060 Is the Final Bull Stronghold
If bears succeed in dragging SHIB below its current support range, analyst MMB Trader has identified $0.0000060 as the next major demand zone. He believes this area represents a stronger cluster of buy-side liquidity and could serve as the final stronghold capable of igniting a recovery.
MMB Trader expressed confidence that a bounce from $0.0000060 could propel SHIB toward $0.0000773, a level significantly higher than today’s price, though still well below last year’s highs.
Both analysts agree on one key point: SHIB’s fate in the coming weeks will hinge on how the price reacts at these critical support levels.
Death Cross: Cause for Concern or Lagging Indicator?
While a weekly death cross sounds alarming, market history across numerous assets shows that such signals are more reflective of past declines than predictive of future ones. In many cases, death crosses occur after the asset has already fallen significantly—precisely what SHIB has experienced over the past three months.
This does not guarantee a reversal, but it suggests that the bearish implications of the signal may already be priced in.
The real question now becomes whether SHIB can hold its support and build a foundation for recovery—or whether mounting pressure will push it into a deeper downtrend.
